
Trump wanted an Iran deal fast. Now he may get military confrontation
2025-06-12 12:09:29
This combination of photos was created on April 09, 2025, the Middle East envoy Steve Witkev, after a meeting with Russian officials at Dirieah Palace, in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, on February 18, 2025 (L); Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Aragchi speaks to Agence France -Presse during an interview at the Iranian consulate in Jeddah on March 7, 2025.
Evelyn Hakstein Amer Hillabi AFP | Gety pictures
Dubai, United Arab Emirates – Oil prices rose Overnight on geopolitical fears, as US President Donald Trump struck a more severe negative tone about nuclear talks with Iran and announced the withdrawal of some American individuals from the Middle East.
“they [U.S. military personnel] He told reporters on Wednesday: “It may be transferred because it may be a dangerous place and we will see what is happening … We have made a notice of exit.”
The Pentagon ordered the withdrawal of the non -essential forces and employees from the embassies in Baghdad, Kuwait and Bahrain.
Speaking to Podcast with the New York Post, Trump accused Tehran of “delay”, describing him as a “shame”.
“I am less confident than what I was two months ago. Something happened to them,” he said of the Iranian actors.
The president earlier warned that the United States or Israel could implement air strikes targeting Iranian nuclear facilities if negotiations fail. He added that his administration will not allow Iran to have a nuclear weapon.
In response, the Iranian Defense Minister expressed his hope for the talks, but he warned of military revenge if things would go south.
The minister told the Iranian newspaper: “It will not be related to that, and the talks will result in results. But if they do not do that, and the conflict is imposed on us, the enemy losses will undoubtedly be greater than our results.” “In this case, America will have to leave the region, because all its rules are within our reach. We have access to it, and without hesitation, we will all target it in the host countries.”

On Thursday, the Council of Governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency-the United Nations Nuclear Control Authority-a decision declaring Iran to not comply with its nuclear guarantees for the first time in nearly 20 years.
Developments indicate a blatant shift after several rounds of the United States’ indirect talks that were previously described as “positive” and “respectable”. Tehran accused Washington of not seriously sharing it and lacking respect for Iran’s right to enrich uranium when it insists on being peaceful purposes.
As is the case, the American Middle East envoy Steve Witkev will meet with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Aragchi in Amman on Sunday for more discussions.
The number one barrier
The Trump and Iran administration says they want a deal. For Trump, this would achieve a political and diplomatic victory that the previous Biden administration has failed to achieve. For Iran, this means the relief required severely from the sanctions that paralyzed its economy.
No one holds? Fertilization of home uranium in Iran, which can be used to generate nuclear energy for peaceful purposes – or build a bomb.
After initially showed flexibility in Iran, capable of enriching uranium at lower levels of nuclear power generation, changing Trump, saying that anything that exceeds any fertilization in the country is unacceptable.
This is to break a difficult deal for Tehran, which requires its right to the civil nuclear energy program. Iran maintains this in light of the Nuclear Nuclear Treaty (NPT), which it joined in 1970, which allows non -nuclear weapons countries to build peaceful nuclear energy programs.

But many concerns about Iran’s actual intentions. Under the Iranian nuclear deal during the 2015 Obama, which is officially called the JCOA joint action plan (JCPOA), Iran has committed to forming levels of enriched uranium by 3.67 % at a rate of 300 kg-enough to maintain the civil nuclear energy program.
But uranium enrichment in Iran has reached 60 % purity, according to the International Atomic Energy Agency-a large higher level that represents a short technical step of 90 % purity level of purity.
“A 60 % country is very dangerous. Only countries that make bombs reach this levelThe head of the International Atomic Energy Agency, Rafael Grouosi, said in 2021.
So what is happening after that, and how high the risk of a military conflict between the United States or Israel, and Iran, a country of 93 million people, is nearly four times the size of Iraq?
Preparing for confrontation
Israel looks ready to attack Iran, According to reports Quoting the United States and European officials. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu pressed Trump to allow strikes, while the US President said in late May that he warned Netanyahu against attacking Iran, while negotiations with Washington were ongoing.
Tensions have escalated since then. Many analysts talking to CNBC say the military confrontation is still likely to be avoided – at the present time. Some indicate that modern partial evacuation orders are part of the design of dance before the upcoming USA talks.
Although Trump publicly says any Iranian local enrichment at all represents a red line, a number of options have been launched that would provide a kind of “settlement” for Tehran.
This American proposal includes Iran to join a regional nuclear union that would allow it to continue enriching uranium at low levels while committing to zero enrichment at some point in the future, and this would see moths ball – but not dismantling – his nuclear facilities.
A picture taken on November 10, 2019 shows an Iranian flag at the Bushehr Iranian nuclear power plant, during an official ceremony to start business at a second reactor in the facility.
Atta Kenari AFP via Getty Images
But the American proposal “is a series of ideas more than a tangible plan, and a moment that appears unpredictable,” Gregory Pro, the chief Iranian and energy analyst in the Eurasia Group, wrote in the memo of this week.
“Even if Iran is allowed to enrich on a temporary basis, it will not accept an arrangement that does not protect this right forever.”
In addition, the Iranians “are very angry that the United States has not fundamentally participated in the issue of relief for sanctions.” “They are asking for clarification on this issue; the Iranians are of course concerned mainly with a deal that brings sanctions to their economy.”
The fact that Iran has publicly threatened a direct strike in the region in the region if the attack was very important, according to Tritta Parsi, CEO at the Queens Institute for the responsible fold.
This is a large part that the missiles that were deployed in Iran to strike Israel last October were “very effective.”
“If there is a confrontation, and if the Iranians believe their threats to target American bases, then this will eventually be a very devastating confrontation,” Parsi said.
“Trump’s supporters are very concerned that he will be at risk as his entire presidency on this issue, while there is in fact a diplomatic deal on hand.”
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