Rumblings of a crypto race

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Rumblings of a crypto race

2025-11-05 08:57:52

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the stablecoin USDT are promoted at a cryptocurrency store in Hong Kong on July 29, 2025.

Peter Parkes | AFP | Getty Images

This report is taken from this week’s CNBC The China Connection newsletter, which brings you insights and analysis on what’s driving the world’s second-largest economy. You can subscribe here.

The big story

The AI ​​competition between America and China is coming to cryptocurrencies.

At least that’s what the US President said Donald Trump I suggest you follow him Meeting last Thursday With the Chinese President Xi Jinping – commerce Negotiation It is closely monitored around the world.

“I want to make Crypto is great for America“, Trump He told CBS News. “In the same way that we are number one in AI, we are also number one in cryptocurrency. And I want to keep it that way.”

“I don’t want China or anyone else to take it,” he said.

Whether or not Trump truly views Beijing as a serious threat, his comments come as China is sending new signals about its cryptocurrency ambitions. Beijing has Blocked local crypto transactions Since 2021, while Hong Kong, a special administrative region of China, has maintained a managed system that encourages the development of digital assets.

Monday Hong Kong Its restrictions were eased Beyond that – let it Licensed virtual asset trading platforms To connect directly with global cryptocurrency exchanges and list new digital assets and stablecoins regulated by Hong Kong, ditching the need for a 12-month track record.

The announcement coincided with the 10th state-organized FinTech Week in Hong Kong, which opened just as South Korea’s political and business scene began to fade.

TradFi meets DeFi in Hong Kong

Hong Kong was quick to follow Washington’s lead, allowing this Spot track exchange traded funds Last year, it went one step further by approving Ethereum ETFs to trade for about three months Before the United States an act.

Bitcoin, often likened to digital gold, remains the most popular cryptocurrency. Ether, another major digital currency On the Ethereum network, it is used for payments and as “gas” to pay for computations and run smart contracts on decentralized applications.

Co-CEO of the Ethereum Foundation, Tomasz K. Stanczak, speaking at the Digital Assets Forum on Sunday on the sidelines of Hong Kong FinTech Week, noted that it is more than… 60% of stablecoins Cryptocurrencies pegged to government-issued currencies are published on the Ethereum network.

Of the roughly 300 attendees, nearly 70% came from traditional financing, according to Gavin Wang, chief investment officer at SNZ Holdings, a digital asset investment firm that helped organize the forum.

Wang, who previously worked at UBS, said this contrasted with the way such events were attracting more software developers. The forum also announced the “Ethereum Hong Kong Hub,” a co-working space to incubate related startups, reflecting the city’s growing influence as Asia’s cryptocurrency gateway.

Even major players in the industry are taking notice. Consensus, one of the world’s largest cryptocurrency conferences in North America, has expanded to include Hong Kong for the first time this year, and plans to return in 2026.

Crypto growing pains

However, digital assets remain relatively nascent compared to traditional markets. The total value of cryptocurrencies has not yet exceeded $4.5 trillionGlobal stock markets are still much larger in… $101.52 trillion.

Bitcoin has fallen sharply in the past few weeks following concerns about escalating trade tensions between the US and China and superficial valuations for AI stocks, It briefly dipped below $100,000 For the first time since late June.

“My assumption is it’s almost the same group [investors] “The shift is around AI and cryptocurrencies. Once AI calms down a little bit, I think cryptocurrencies will come back,” said Jason Huang, co-founder of NextGen Digital Venture (NDV), an Asia-based fund that invests in cryptocurrencies and related stocks.

Hwang’s $100 million fund rose 375.5% in the two years to March 2025 — outperforming Bitcoin by more than 60% over that period — and he is now launching a second fund. Many of his investors are wealthy Chinese, he said, adding that subscriptions have increased despite the recent sell-off.

According to Huang, his fund fell by at least 10% last month, despite the decline Which he said was the biggest liquidation day for cryptocurrencies, even surpassing the infamous FTX exchange collapse.

The US dollar against the Chinese yuan

The next stage of competition may not be about the tokens themselves, but about controlling them. Governments are increasingly keen to control the market through stablecoins backed by their own fiat currencies.

Much of the recent excitement over digital assets in Hong Kong stems from its move toward stablecoins this year, in the wake of the US Genius Act, which aims to support dollar-pegged stablecoins. It brings the US dollar’s competition with the Chinese yuan into the digital age.

“Both are striving to expand the use of their currency to build their own global user system,” said Winston Ma, an associate professor of law at New York University School of Law.

But he noted that it will not be easy, as Beijing has not yet convinced individuals to widely adopt the digital yuan, the digital currency issued by China’s central bank and designed to replace some cash transactions while allowing for stricter supervision of its financial system.

China has sought to promote a digital version of its currency, the yuan, in recent years, but it has not yet entered the mainstream.

“USD stablecoins may face the same thing when they start to emerge,” Ma said.

The US dollar accounted for just under half of global payments by value in September, followed by the international financial messaging service SWIFT, while the Chinese yuan rose one place to fifth place with… 3.17% share.

Last week, China’s central bank governor Pan Gongsheng promoted the plan Digital yuantaking a more conservative view of stablecoins than many expected, reaffirming Beijing’s longstanding restrictions on stablecoins. Speculative trading in virtual currencies.

However, Bitcoin’s blockchain data showed China remains a major playerRanking third in Bitcoin mining activity globally – behind the United States and Russia.

This is not a statistic Trump is likely to ignore. Forbes estimates that the US President himself owns approximately $870 million in Bitcoin, which is one of the global currencies. The largest personal caches.

— CNBC’s Annick Pauw contributed to this report.

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Quote of the week

In the markets

Chinese markets rose 0.46%, defying the broader regional decline as investors pulled out of AI-related stocks.

The Hang Seng is little changed, while the CSI 300 is up nearly 18% so far this year.

The Chinese yuan was traded in external transactions at 7.1307 against the dollar.

-Li Ying Shan

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Shanghai Composite performance over the past year.

Coming

November 5 – 10: China International Import Expo in Shanghai

November 6 – 9: “Six Little Dragons” in China Artificial Intelligence startups hold a roundtable During the World Internet Conference in Wuzhen

November 7: Exports and imports for October

November 9: CPI and PPI for October

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