MORNING GLORY: Will the House Freedom Caucus desert President Trump and trigger a massive tax hike?
2025-07-03 09:00:51
Parliament Speaker Mike Johnson hopes to attend the president Donald Trump“A beautiful, beautiful draft law” to vote on Wednesday afternoon or evening.
If it is successful and “obbb” passes and is on his way to President’s officeThen this column was crossed through events – wonderful events as the OBB traffic means raising the American economy.
However, if four or more Republicans withdrew the gathering, released the president and their party, and stop the great penetration of the economy, borders, and the energy sector, especially the country’s defense and voted “no”, then broke the glass and withdrawing the crane.
Democratic doctors protested against the “Trump Law of Jame
OBB is not the type of law that can survive at the conference and the second round through the legislative session. It has been navigated in many narrow suffocation points to reach this decision point. Something caution on the wind, and this high -balanced lint, accurately from the “Conference Committee”, is in fact to remove a unique opportunity for the Republican Party to make the central promises of the party and President Trump in the 2024 campaign.
It is not an ideal invoice in the eyes or eyes of any other observer and most members of Congress. It is a very good invoice, and goodness should not be an enemy of perfection.
Most of OBB’s voice critics are the self -described “deficit hawks” (as well as a member of the individual Congress Massi from Kentucky who believes his job is interviewed on the TV.)
More effect of the invoice on the deficit can not be reduced without starting again, and “starting again” means failure in delivery.
Again, the margins of the house and The majority of the Republican Party in the Senate Very narrow so that you do not expect a different result. OBB’s dropping now means shooting at the period. The members who vote “no” will be responsible for the largest tax increase in history and the constant decrease in American military preparation as well as the non -funded border journal and the uninterrupted wall.
The Republicans who vote “may not be” from “safe areas”, but it is clear that the Republican Party is writing great and President Trump in particular will recruit and finance their main competitors, and if these voters do not succeed, they encourage sending obstacles and sincere invisible to the House of Representatives instead of the rising disabled people.
However, there is one thing that the president and speaker can stick to members of the House of Representatives who want more discounts in spending: the opportunity to write and manage the second reconciliation bill.
Early this year there were voices arguing My project of reconciliation A draft law for the first reconciliation in order to throw the ball to spend on the borders and defense, then a second draft spending and tax cuts on the borders and entitlement aimed at exfoliation of waste, fraud and ill -treatment of these programs.
President Trump has absolutely prompted the maker of deals to “OBB” on the theory-which has been very correct-to the point that the Republican Party will not risk raising the economy tax scheduled for January 1, 2026, unless it was stopped by “OBB” first. Trump is betting on the momentum and so far he wins this bet.
There are “real believers” at home who want deeper discounts in spending. If they detonate the OBB this week, they will say that they depend on the House of Representatives and the Republican Party to reassemble the pieces but with more cuts. This will not happen, of course. It is not even a mirage. It is a counter -reality. This will not happen. See the Senate vote: 50-50. All the weight that the bill can bear in it. Pass it or welcome the huge tax increase for 2026!
The current spending in the draft law is presented to the Senate. Slide even a little deeper and the deal is dead. Metal competitors at home may want to believe that something else can happen, but the bottom line is to kill “obbb” now means killing him forever. Republicans voting against “OBB” vote on the breakdown of the economy between now and November 2026, and therefore for a democratic majority in the House of Representatives and all the financial responsibility that is sent to the markets. A bloodbath will be on the market and it is right in it.
“No” a vote on “OBB” is “yes” to the votes of the spokesperson Jeffrez and raised the tremendous spending on its arrival alongside the huge tax strike.
the Hawk deficit They promised more and perhaps they were. But every Senator gets a vote as well, and the appetite for the Senate has been reached to cut the collective deficit. This is the best that can be done in this round of reconciliation.
What the president and the speaker can present to stand is control of the second round of reconciliation, which is the second round that this conference is entitled to.
Place the actors Chip Roy, Andy Harris and Ralph Norman responsible for drafting the draft law and managing it in the home hall. No traffic guarantees can be given – there are moderates in the House of Representatives, the Republican Party, which must be persuaded, but the president and the speaker can provide strong support for this effort. The deficiency hawks may come with a thread that can make it through the smallest eyes of many needles: the actual repair of entitlements.
If there are members they want Social Security To go to bankruptcy, or medical care payments and benefits to adhere to the entire estimated spending budget, they will be indifferent to the reform of the entitlement. But members responsible for both sides of the congressional councils should realize that the Federal Reserve Speaker Jerome Powell was right when he announced on Tuesday that “the level of debt is sustainable, but the path is not.”
“We need to treat it sooner or later,” Powell continued. “Urgently is better than futures.”
It can mean “urgent” now, and if the financial falcons are allowed to formulate a draft law to reform the entitlement to the second draft reconciliation law, which uses the greatest weapon in the arsenal against national debt. With a well -made invoice, they can even pull it.
Mention “Brac” commissions? On five different occasions since 1988, Congress gave the very sensitive task of appointing US military facilities to close to an independent committee held hearings and produced a list of the rules to be closed. Every local
Congress member knew that their bull could spoil, but they also knew that the country needed to trim the size and size of local military facilities. So he created Congress, Bracs empowerment, and Bracs did their work. Ultimately, Congress was presented in the list, and by design, Congress was able to vote only on “yes” or “no” in the entire list. By forcing all Congress to deal with all the closures, the pain and Braces recommendations have always been shared. The five Brac tours have been closed since 1988 more than 350 military facilities, which led to great cost savings and resources liberalization of other priorities.
We need such an approach to the Merit Reform Committee and such a measure to consider Congress for the recommendations of the committee.
Take the easiest repair of suggestion and pass: Add a month to the eligibility schedules for retirement age every year over 60 years. This may mean an increase for a year in the era of eligibility – from 65 to 66, for example – every ten years, and will help the social security compatibility with the actuarial tables that reflect our long collective lives. Put the repair that is moving slowly in place only for those under the age of 55 and the end result is that all Americans under the age of 55 will not get a social security examination until the age of 66. This is a very nice but necessary curve for cost curve for entitlement.
Include such a proposal in a package of other low reforms to tangle of entitlements, then arrange the entire package to receive a vote or down at the lame of Congress in December 2026.
Disability hawks can actually claim to try to fix the deficit. And they must get it.
But is this what they want, or do they want to face time on the viral videos here today and go before sunset?
This is a very dangerous moment in the life of the country. Made a Permanent tax structure This investment and risk is the most important thing that this Congress can do to ensure a vibrant and growing economy. The re -supplying our defensive stocks and accelerating the construction of the ship and submarines is vital for our safety. Preventing the permanent adoption of this tax law as well as the required investments urgently in defensive security and borders will be further reckless than the measure.
But if a sufficient number of short -sighted tables rises to prevent OBB, it is imposed an offer that they cannot reject: responsibility for more than speeches.
HEGH Heitt is a contributor to Fox News, and a host of “The Hugh Hewitt Show”, he heard the days of the week from 3 pm until 6 pm on the Radio Salem network, and Simulcast on Salem News. Hugh pushes home on the eastern coast and for lunch on the West Coast over more than 400 individuals across the country, and on all broadcast platforms that can see SNC. He is a frequent guest at a round table of the Fox News hosted by Bret Baier Weekdays at 6 pm Each time. Hewitt, a son in Ohio and graduated from Harvard College and Faculty of Law at the University of Michigan, has been a professor of law at Fowler College of Law at Chapman University since 1996 where he studies constitutional law. Hiite launched his permissible radio program from Los Angeles in 1990. Hiite has often appeared on every major national news television network, and hosted the TV programs of PBS and MSNBC, which was written by each major American paper, composed of dozens of books and the Republican presidency of the republic, and others in November 2023. Hiite focuses his radio program and pillar on the constitution and security National, American policy, Cleveland Brown and Guardians. Hiite has an interview with tens of thousands of guests of Democrats Hillary Clinton and John Kerry for Republican Presidents George W. Bush and Donald Trump for 40 years in broadcasting, and this column inspects the main story that will lead his radio/ television program today.
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