Could this be the most significant Nato since the Cold War?

Since the world carries its breath to find out what happens after that after the United States launched direct attacks on Iranian nuclear sites, it is expected that US President Donald Trump in the Netherlands will be on Tuesday to obtain NATO’s top.

This will be the first NATO Trump’s first meeting since his re -election. In the past, he made angry comments about the members of Alliace who download US security guarantees. European allies are desperate to prove that it is a mistake. They hope to persuade him not to withdraw the forces or the capabilities of the United States from the continent.

“The relations with Europe have been very tense since Trump returned to the White House – because of the commercial tariffs and more – a few weeks ago, we were not sure that he would come to this summit,” a high -level diplomat – who spoke on condition of anonymity.

“With the observation of Russia and China for Western weakness, it could have been a disaster.”

But Moscow and Beijing may be able to remove popcorn.

NATO Secretary -General Mark Retty designed this summit around Trump. He was aimed at holding him by agreeing to a huge rise in defensive spending, to show that the Europeans would now bear more responsibility for their security.

Rott also expressed the meeting with a little difference on money, as it may avoid any potential or evacuating clashes between Trump and his allies.

This carefully covered plan can collapse.

Depending on the next step for Iran, the highest American leader may decide at the last minute to stay in the situation of the situation in Washington.

If he comes to Europe, as expected, how will it be possible not to talk about the Middle East given what is at stake? This would expose the risk of the repercussions of the US President and European allies, who called for diplomacy in bombing when it comes to Iran.

Trump loves to win he is very skinny. He will not want to feel any refusal at the NATO meeting.

Separately, his victory was confirmed at the top, as European countries are committed to spending 5 % of GDP to defense – just as he requested in its first weeks in the White House.

“This summit revolves around credibility,” is how the US ambassador to NATO, Matthew Whitker.

But Spain claimed on Sunday that it had obtained the cancellation of the subscription from the new spending plan – which Roti denied at a later time.

Other allies in Europe are struggling to find the additional money they also wander.

The bottom line is: Europe needs to maintain large military and nuclear energy along with. This is how Rutte managed to retreat the hesitant leaders – BAR SPAIN – to participate in the new big spending batch. It is a great commitment.

But as the former American ambassador to NATO, Julian Smith, told me, until then, there are no guarantees with Trump.

It is not clear whether the United States will record the end of peace ending this week as Russia is determined as the main threat to the NATO alliance.

Europe’s confidence in the United States was shaken as his final protector through Trump’s approach to calmly with Moscow, and his extreme pressure on Kiev, as he tried to end the war in Ukraine.

In addition, on Friday night, you could have almost hearing almost European diplomats grinding their teeth, after Trump frankly justified the 5 % defensive spending goal that the allies demanded, while offering himself and the United States of commitment.

“I don’t think we should do so, but I think they should.” “NATO has supported us for a long time … so I don’t think we should, but I think the NATO countries should be, at all.”

Then again, it should have been said that European leaders should have been better now in terms of self -defense.

It may be the most prominent and most unpredictable, but Trump is in no way the first American president to want to transfer military attention and investment from Europe to areas of other priority, especially the Indian Pacific Ocean. President Obama was very clear about it in 2011.

The United States has nuclear weapons stored in Italy, Belgium, Germany and the Netherlands. It has 100,000 soldiers ready for the battle stationed throughout Europe, and 20,000 of them in NATO countries in Eastern Europe, and President Biden sent him there after Russia’s extensive invasion of Ukraine.

The continent can compensate for a deficit in the numbers of forces, especially with Germany and Poland planning to raise their wild forces significantly over the next few years. Malcolm Chalmers, Deputy Director General of the Royal United Services Institute, says that Europe’s dependence on the United States is deeper.

It relied on Washington to collect intelligence, monitoring, air force capabilities, leadership and control. The United States has played a pivotal leaders in NATO, and gathered its members and forces.

These are exactly the rare capabilities and the American army in Asia, says Mr. Chalmers. If removed from Europe, they take a long time to repeat it.

Not so long ago, many NATO countries in Europe have avoided building continental capabilities, such as extending the nuclear umbrella in France to other allies, for fear that the United States will say: “Well, you no longer need us. We are outside!”

But now, Europe is forced to assume more security responsibility, not only to try to persuade Washington to stay – but also if the American president decides to withdraw from Europe to a greater or less.

Nobody knows what Trump’s intentions are. NATO leaders in Europe were very comfortable recently, when his administration announced that American Air Lieutenant Alexos Greencotch would assume that the NATO position occupied by the United States on the leader of the highest allies in Europe. This implicit commitment to the defense alliance.

But Washington is implementing its military spending and defense review. Autumn ads are expected. There is unlikely that there is any new American financing for Ukraine. It is very likely that the 20,000 additional American forces in Eastern Europe are the first American forces to be withdrawn from the continent.

Nevertheless, Poland says she will attend the NATO summit for this week in a confident mood. In a blatant contradiction with Spain, Warsaw believes that she leads role models – spending more national income on defense (currently 4.7 % of GDP) more than any other NATO member, including the United States. It aims to build the strongest land army in Europe.

During the Cold War, Poland lived under the shadow of the Soviet Union. The neighbors of the country Ukraine. It is not difficult to persuade the columns that the defense is a top priority.

For politicians in countries away from Russia, the argument is more challenging. The Spanish media was full of speculation that the differences over defensive spending could drop the unstable coalition government in the country.

In an attempt to clarify Trump by agreeing to his demands for defensive spending, with a sweetening pill for more European leaders who suffer from financial distress, NATO proposes to divide the target by 5 % into two part ,,,,,,,,,,,,, Or, such as the sea shipping ports, for example, or Fronas.

This is an additional reward for making Europe compatible with US military spending by 3.4 % of GDP – a huge psychological teacher, says Camel Grand, Assistant Secretary -General for Defense Investment in NATO and defense expert now in the European Council for Foreign Relations.

But you are playing with numbers, we are talking about governments having to spend other billions of defense. Money should come from a place.

Either new taxes – a method that Estonia was trying to go out – or more borrowing, which will be expensive for countries like Italy that already has large sums of government debt. Another option is a decrease in social welfare spending – known as “weapons, butter” or “tanks or pensions”.

Through its strategic defense review, the UK recently assured the public the need for more military spending, but Mr. Chalmers says there is no Downing Street nor most other European governments have fully prepared their pegs that will be required by the huge new defense investments.

The timeline to reach a 5 % goal is the key. NATO allies called for a window from 7 to 10 years. The Secretary -General of NATO suggested that it may have been too late. He said that Moscow’s economy is largely in full swing, and Russia will be able to attack the NATO country within five years.

Defending Europe is not only related to the amount of governments. As it is important to spend on their money.

The great European weakness is that there are a lot of repeated and incompatible capabilities throughout the continent: it is said that 178 different types of arms systems and 17 different tanks in the European Union alone, for example. The development of national defense contracts and pride, and the collection of European resources as efficiency, is another spinal discussion that is likely to be marginalized at the height of this week.

So what are the specific results that we can expect?

This largely depends on the man who reaches the Netherlands on Airforce One.

Trump’s ambassador to NATO says the meeting may be historic.

“The moment of the water gatherings” is how I put me another high-ranking diplomat-the most important NATO summit since the Cold War “: The moment Europe began spending as much as the United States on defense and really responsible for its security.

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