America's Iran dilemma: How to strike Fordow without losing sight of China threat
2025-06-19 11:00:22
The strange struggle between Israel and Iran is more than just a geopolitical flash point – reflecting a historical competition that extends to nearly 2500 years. When the Persian Empire is below The Great Cyrus Babylon invaded on 539 BC, and issued a decree allowing Jewish prisoners to return and rebuild the Temple of Jerusalem. Although this law was seen as charitable, it put Persia in the midst of a civilized balance in the region. Since then, Persia and Israel have often occupied the columns of opposition authority in The Middle East.
Today, this long arc has reached a risky top. Israel and Iran’s direct confrontation is taking place, and President Trump appears to be ready for the commitment of the United States forces. The striker’s work teams and carrier groups move to their location, and the speculation is escalating Fordow – the safest nuclear facility in Iran. In the event of such a strike, it should be accurate and restricted. While Iran’s nuclear threat should be, America’s strategic focus should remain constant on its greatest rival: China.
Why should we destroy Iran’s nuclear facility now?
Old identity, modern risks
Iran’s self-perception is steeped in its Persian heritage-a deep cultural identity not only sees itself as a nation, but as a civilized broadcaster in the region. Although the Islamic Republic has distanced itself from pre -Islamic property, it still calls for the legacy of Persian greatness. This feeds the deep root view that Iran – not the Arab world or the West – is the mediator of the legitimate power of the Middle East.
This mentality helps to explain Iran’s nuclear ambition. The system believes that regional leadership and deterrence require atomic capacity. This opinion is not just ideological – it is strategic and historical, and in Tehran’s eyes, only.
Fordow: Redoubt nuclear
the Fordow The fuel enrichment factory is buried deeply – 80 meters under the Alfand Mountain, near Qom. It includes IR-6 Mentifugs and protected against traditional strikes. While Israel has carried out attacks on Natanz and Esbalman, Ford is still sound – as it was partially activated because the United States only possesses GBU-57A/B. “Huge munitions” is able to reach it.
How close to Iran is a nuclear weapon before Israel’s strike on Tehran?
If the United States is acting, it should be to get rid of Fordo and return the timeline of Iran significantly. But you should do it with clear limits.
Iran will return Iran
No one should assume that Iran will surrender after one blow – even success. Ayatollah has already warned me, “The battle has just started.” Iran maintains the means of revenge: the militia of the agency, the ballistic missiles, the capabilities of the cybersecurity, and the naval forces ready to strike American assets and disrupt oil flows in a hormone strait. The revolutionary guards of the regime and local intelligence devices are loyal and brutal – so the hopes of the popular uprising in the aftermath of the strike are, at the present time, unrealistic.
Thus, the military operation should be seen as a blow at the end of the war, but rather a maneuver to buy time.
Strategic discipline: follow the leadership of Israel
The primary goal of Israel is not to change the system, however Iran depriving the ability of nuclear weapons. “The entire operation … it must really be complete while getting rid of the Fordow.” This clear narrow task should be the American goal.
Israel’s war with Iran is a global flash point. It must lead America before it spreads
America should support Israel with logistical services, monitoring, ammunition and deterrence – but avoid its tangle in a wider regional war. Any check -a -to -check -of -a -to -verdict should follow – heavenly signatures, ISR guides, and perfectly confirm the International Atomic Energy Agency – that Fordow is not operating. Without it, the task lacks strategic and political clarity.
China still threatens speed
All the time, the United States must remember this: Iran is a regional representative with a limited global scope. China is a opponent competitor with global ambition. The US National Defense Strategy has repeatedly defined China as it Speed threat For the United States – in technology, trade, cyber, and military power.
Xi Jinping Watch closely. The long -term intertwining of the United States in the Middle East is exactly the strategic distraction type that China hopes. Indo and Pacific still is the theater in which the future of America will be determined. Allow the secondary conflict to drain our frequency range directly in Beijing’s hand.
The real task: it contains, does not turn
Changing the regime in Iran cannot be achieved through air force alone, and it is not necessary to achieve our strategic goals. Washington should be satisfied with the deterioration of Iran’s nuclear capacity, isolating the diplomatic system, and strengthening its regional allies.
Deterrence must be re-established through a reliable-not open intervention. Let the United States hit, when necessary, but do not remain longer than required. Let Fordow fall, but let the American strategy remain focusing on China.
The consequences of inaction
The alternative – nothing – has serious effects. Nuclear Iran will change the balance of power, encourage its agents, and lead to its spread in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Turkey. Tehran was holding Tel Aviv hostage, threatening the rules of the United States, and canceling American deterrence. Dealler sends a signal: US red lines are negotiable. It would extend beyond the Middle East.
conclusion
Iran’s nuclear ambition Not only is the calculation of military differentiation and integration, but also in a civilized memory – the one that Iran calls a heir to the regional domination of the ancient country of Persia. Israel, born from exile and forgery in the conflict, sees its survival. The United States should support its ally – but with clear conditions clearly.
We can eliminate Fordo. We can bear the response of Iran. But we should not lose sight of a bigger competition. The future of America will not be formed by the Mountains of the National, but from the South China Sea.
Let history remember: We have hit hard, beaten smart, and we remained concentrated. Fordo may fall – but our eyes should remain in China.
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